Recapping the 1st Half

 

July 4th weekend marks the halfway point in the season and I wanted to look at the top stories of the first half and going into the second half and reveal my first half awards.

  1. The division races are not close. The American League East is the only division that is separated by less than 5 games. Two division already see the leaders with at least an 8 game lead. I believe the second half will see two more races become close like the A.L East. I would be surprised if the American League East did not come down to the final week of the season because every team in the division has a serious flaw. Right now the Nationals have a 5.5 game lead in the National League East but both the Nationals and the Mets have been streaky this season. The Mets have a dynamic pitching rotation that has not quite clicked this season and are due to make a run. The other division that I think is still up for grabs is the American League Central. The Indians used a 14 game win streak to propel themselves into first place but Detroit and Kansas City are still in striking range to make a push at the division.
  2. Clayton Kershaw’s health. This week Kershaw went on the disabled list with a herniated disk in his back and will likely be out until after the all-star break. Kershaw may be the most valuable player in all of baseball. When he pitches, the Dodgers are 14-2. When he is sitting in the dugout, the Dodgers are 33-35. I do not like their rotation besides Kershaw. Kenta Maeda has had a strong first half with a 2.82 ERA but the more games he pitches, the more scouting reports teams can build against him. In my opinion, their rotation is full of 4 and 5 starters. If Kershaw is not healthy in the second half, the Dodgers could easily find themselves out of the wild card race.
  3. The trade deadline will be interesting. This year there are so many teams that are already out of contention. That means that there could be more teams that are willing to trade some of their trade chips than most seasons. There will not be any aces on the trade deadline but guys like Rich Hill, Julio Tehran, and Sunny Gray could help some rotations if teams are willing to part with prospects. A lot of chips will depend on the New York Yankees and if they decide to become sellers at the deadline. Andrew Miller and Aroldis Chapman could help bolster some bullpens like the Chicago Cubs and Texas Rangers. Some hitters that could be dealt are Melvin Upton, Ryan Braun, Jonathan Lucroy, and Carlos Beltran. I also think the Minnesota Twins would be smart to listen to offers on Eduardo Nunez. Nunez is having a huge season and is hitting .322/.348/.491 with 11 home runs and 18 stolen bases. The Twins are having a disappointing season and should be trying to restock for the next few seasons.
  4. 1st half Award Winners:

 

A.L. ROY: Nomar Mazara: .287/.337/.433

A.L. CY: Chris Sale: 14-2, 2.93 ERA, 8.9 K/9

A.L. MVP: Jose Altuve:

N.L. ROY: Corey Seager: .303/.362/.536

N.L CY: Clayton Kershaw: 11-2, 1.79 ERA, 10.8 K/9

N.L MVP: Kris Bryant: .277/.367/.564, 23 HR

 

In my pre-season picks, I took the Giants over the Rangers in the World Series. I feel pretty confident about that pick at the midway point in the season.

If the All-Star Break Started Today….

 

 

If the all-star teams were selected today, it would be difficult to predict who would be the starting shortstop for the American League. Right now, I think there is a clear battle between Cleveland’s Francisco Lindor and Boston’s Xander Bogaerts. This weekend we got to see the two matchup at Fenway Park and both played very well. So who would you take, Lindor or Bogaerts? Let’s look at the numbers.

Lindor is in his first full MLB season and is putting together a very solid season in his age 22 season. After Sunday’s game, Lindor’s stat line is .325/.383/.428. Lindor is now hitting 3rd for the Indians and their offense has taken off as they have scored the second most runs in the Majors in the month of May (102). Lindor is a complete baseball player as he is one of the best defensive shortstops in all of baseball. As of Sunday, he is 6th among all shortstops with 3 defensive runs saved. He has also stolen 8 out of 9 bases this season which has lead him to 2.2 WAR through the first 41 games of the season. The future is bright for Cleveland and their young shortstop.
Like Lindor, Bogaerts is also very young, 23 years-old, although it seems like he has been in the league for a while. He is also the 3-hole hitter for the Boston Red Sox and is off to a great start as he has played a big part on baseball’s best offensive team. Bogaerts’s stat line is .346/.397/.495. and is tied with Daniel Murphy for the most hits in baseball with 63. He is not quite the defensive shortstop Lindor has shown so far but he has improved in each of his three seasons in the big leagues. Bogaerts is 6 of 7 with stolen bases which has lead him to a 2.5 WAR. These two have had excellent starts to the season and to their careers.

Now Lindor and Bogaerts are not the only shortstops in the America League that are having good seasons. Carlos Correa and Elvis Andrus are also having nice seasons but not quite at the same level as the other two. Bogaerts and Lindor are clearly the favorites in the young season and it will be fun to watch over the next few weeks to see who claims the starting role on the American League roster. Who is your pick?